Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 37 · v1

Severe Weather near Sebastian

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 44 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 31 July 2026 at 21:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 24th strongest of the 31 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 30 July 2026. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued July 31 at 3:06PM EDT until July 31 at 5:00PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL

Urban PEI: 306,738 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 16 March 2026

How we know

5 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 37 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)37 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.91/1
Coordinates27.9947, -80.2377
Nearest CitySebastian (30 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)306.7K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-31T19:06:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.759ed10c1dc9d5a6949a2d6d2e6585bc

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-31T19:06:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-07-31T19:25:57.992Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
18
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescSebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm; Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm; Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm; Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued July 31 at 3:06PM EDT until July 31 at 5:00PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL
Expires2026-07-31T17:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Melbourne FL
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.759ed10c1dc9d5a6949a2d6d2e6585bcc75d8aef.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.854fe9c79cd4baf3f8ac02f97e5c1fb0daf0a4f9.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryG
Iem Magnitude40
Iem UnitMPH
Iem City2 ESE Cape Canaveral SF
Iem CountyBrevard
Iem StateFL
Iem WfoMLB
Iem RemarkUSSF wind sensor on tower 3 (Cape Canaveral) measured a peak wind gust of 48MPH/42KT from the northwest at 2:10 PM. Earlier, a gust to 40MPH/35KT occurred at 2:05 PM. Sensor elevation is 54 feet.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_M_28.460_-80.530_1785521400000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1785521400000,"latitude":28.46,"longitude":-80.53},{"id":"iem_M_28.400_-80.650_1785521100000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1785521100000,"latitude":28.4,"longitude":-80.65},{"id":"iem_M_28.570_-80.590_1785520500000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1785520500000,"latitude":28.57,"longitude":-80.59},{"id":"iem_G_28.460_-80.530_1785521100000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1785521100000,"latitude":28.46,"longitude":-80.53}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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